CALX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Calix’s strategic advances in SmartHome tech and partnerships promise growth despite macro challenges. The consistent option interest signals investor confidence in potential upside gains.




Bearish Case: Market volatility, combined with recent price declines, reflects uncertainty. Competition and regulatory challenges could stifle CALX's growth, leading to further price drops.




Potential Outcomes:
  • SmartHome expansion drives stock up (60% chance)
  • Rangebound due to mean reversion (25% chance)
  • Market decline if earnings fall short (15% chance)




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread by selling the $35.00 put and buying the $30.00 put expiring in three months. This strategy capitalizes on CALX's potential stabilization and leverages mean-reverting tendencies. Profitability hinges on price remaining above $35, offering 63% market odds of profit with a 27% potential return.



January 30, 2025


Calix Forecast

CALX        Calix











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EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.6)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CALX



VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (-0.01)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.01)


MBUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBUU  Malibu Boats (-0.01)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CALX



SWTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWTX  SpringWorks Therapeutics (-0.59)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.6)


INFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFA  Informatica (-0.61)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (-0.61)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.64)









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