CARR Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Strong HVAC demand and potential market recovery could drive CARR price appreciation. Positive macroeconomic factors, combined with Carrier's strategic acquisitions, suggest upward price momentum in 2025.




Bearish Case: Market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties may suppress Carrier's performance. Rising costs and competitive pressures could hinder profitability and lead to price declines in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Increased HVAC demand drives price up (60%),

2. Geopolitical tensions disrupt supply and hurt valuations (25%),

3. Operational efficiencies improve margins (15%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying CARR 12/20/2024 $77.50 calls and selling $80 calls, leveraging the expected rise in volatility and market recovery. Targeting a 70% probability of profit with excellent risk/reward based on current conditions.



November 12, 2024


Carrier Forecast

CARR        Carrier











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