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CARR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CARR exhibits strong historical returns and current growth in HVAC demand. The short-term implied volatility drop supports potential price appreciation as market confidence increases.

Bearish Case: Current backwardation of implied volatility and flat trading volume suggest potential underestimation of risks, which could lead to a downturn if economic conditions worsen.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Steady growth due to stable HVAC demand (40%).

2. Volatility from geopolitical issues causes dip (35%).

3. Technological innovations provide unexpected gains (25%).

May 14, 2025

Carrier Forecast

CARR Carrier

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CARR

ALLE Allegion (0.85)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.85)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.83)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.79)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CARR

NWS News (0.0)

AGI Alamos Gold (0.0)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)

BBAR BBVA Argentina (0.01)

STM New York Shares (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CARR

NTR Nutrien (-0.43)

IDN Intellicheck (-0.45)

CTRA Coterra Energy (-0.46)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.48)

ETR Entergy (-0.56)

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