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AI ALLE Forecast

Bullish Case: With strong historical returns as seen in the past two years, coupled with increasing call volume and a favorable market sentiment, ALLE may experience upward momentum, potentially reaching $170+ if bullish earnings surprise occurs.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility for puts suggests market apprehension amid low growth projections. A bearish scenario could see price dipping below $140 if economic conditions worsen or earnings disappoint, reflecting investor pessimism.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued moderate rally, pushing towards $160 (20% chance);

2) Stagnation around $150 with minor fluctuations (60% chance);

3) Significant price drop below $140 due to macroeconomic factors (20% chance).

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October 21, 2024

Allegion Forecast

ALLE Allegion

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALLE

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.95)

NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (0.94)

BAM Brookfield Asset (0.93)

IBM International Business Machines (0.92)

EOLS Evolus (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALLE

LOGI Logitech International (0.0)

OI O-I Glass (-0.0)

SIMO Silicon Motion Technology (0.0)

ROKU Roku (-0.0)

HDB HDFC (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALLE

SRS ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.77)

GOGO Gogo (-0.79)

EQNR Equinor ASA - (-0.79)

SDOW ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.79)

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.8)

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