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ALLE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ALLE's innovative product launches and strong institutional support enhance its market position, signaling potential growth. Historical trends indicate resilience.

Bearish Case: Stagnant price action and valuation concerns could hinder upside. Elevated puts' volume highlights market apprehension around downturn risks.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Continued trading range (~143): 55% chance.
2. Price rises to ~$150 due to positive developments: 25% chance.
3. Price drops below ~$134 amid valuation concerns: 20% chance.

June 27, 2025

Allegion Forecast

ALLE Allegion

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALLE

CARR Carrier (0.88)

HAS Hasbro (0.72)

D Dominion Energy (0.7)

XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR (0.68)

BEPC Brookfield Renewable (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALLE

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.0)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.0)

TPR Tapestry (0.0)

QCOM Qualcomm (0.01)

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALLE

SUN Sunoco (-0.33)

USO United States Commodity Funds (-0.34)

BRZE Braze (-0.35)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.43)

ESTC Elastic (-0.46)

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