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CAT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: CAT's strategic investments in technology and infrastructure position it for growth, supported by relatively low implied volatility.



Bearish Case: High market valuation and economic uncertainties present risks for CAT, which is vulnerable to macroeconomic shifts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth from infrastructure investments (60%).
  • Market correction due to macroeconomic uncertainties (30%).
  • Sudden volatility from unexpected events (10%).



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May 04, 2025


Caterpillar Forecast

CAT        Caterpillar

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CAT


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.87)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.83)


WHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHD  Cactus (0.83)


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.81)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CAT


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.0)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.0)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.0)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.0)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CAT


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.39)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.43)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.46)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.48)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.59)







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