CDNA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong call option volume and improved financial projections suggest potential market confidence and recovery post-legal setbacks.




Bearish Case: High volatility and recent legal challenges cast doubt on sustainable growth, indicating potential for further declines despite improved coverage.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% chance of gradual recovery driven by improved Medicare coverage and strategic expansions.
  • 30% risk of volatile downturns due to unresolved legal proceedings and market uncertainties.
  • 10% chance of unexpected breakthrough that could boost investor confidence significantly.




Trading Oracle: Opt for a medium-term bullish debit spread by buying CDNA May 2025 $25 calls and selling $30 calls. Favor this strategy due to its potential high reward:risk ratio and leveraging the increased call volume while align with the positive sentiment seen in Helium's implied volatility forecasts.



February 14, 2025


Caredx Forecast

CDNA        Caredx











Correlated Assets

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ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.89)


DTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DTE  DTE Energy (0.88)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.88)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (0.86)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CDNA



SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.01)


ROOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROOT  Root (0.01)


NTNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTNX  Nutanix (0.01)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CDNA



TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (-0.82)


INFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFA  Informatica (-0.82)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.83)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (-0.84)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.84)









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