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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
The blue line is Helium's historical forecast. The black line is the actual closing price. Full transparency of past predictions. Hover over points for more information. Video Tutorial.
Future Price Cone
The future price cone means the model thinks there is a 80% chance the price will land within the bounds of the cone. A blue cone is neutral, a green cone is bullish, and a red cone is bearish.
Model Correlation
Higher (closer to 1) means a more accurate model and lower (closer to -1) means a less accurate model. This is the Spearman Correlation between model predicted percent change and actual percent change calculated over the last 150 days.
Percent Correct (up or down)
This is the percent of the time our models predicted the correct direction of the price (either up or down) over the last 150 days.
Tip:
Left click and drag charts to zoom in. Right click to zoom back out.
* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
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Trading Strategies
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Show historical bullish cases
June 23, 2023: Helium Trades identifies opportunities for upside convexity in Calumet Specialty Products, with positive edge by buying the $16.0 strike option [Helium]. CLMT is trading at 58.4% higher from a year ago [Helium].
July 18, 2023: Wells Fargo's Roger Read maintained a Buy rating on CLMT with a price target of $27 [aaii.com], and the company's recent charitable activity demonstrates strong community engagement[linkedin.com].
August 08, 2023: CLMT has shown significant growth over the past five years (up by 126.4% [Helium]), beat revenue targets in Q2 2023, and generated $1.04 billion during that quarter [marketbeat.com]. It also has a promising average price prediction of $22.50 [marketbeat.com].
August 30, 2023: CLMT's steady performance in the renewable sector [seekingalpha.com], insider trading by EVP [beststocks.com], and UBS Group’s price target increase [beststocks.com], suggest a positive growth trajectory.
Show historical bearish cases
June 23, 2023: CLMT is trading at -7.3% from sixty days ago [Helium] and -54.7% from ten years ago [Helium]. Downside convexity opportunities identified by Helium Trades [Helium].
July 18, 2023: The company missed its latest GAAP EPS target by $0.08 [seekingalpha.com] and its stock price is currently trading at a negative 2.6% from sixty days ago [Helium].
August 08, 2023: CLMT missed its GAAP EPS target by $0.08 [Helium], and its share price is currently declining (down by 4.1% from a week ago [Helium], 2.3% from sixty days ago [Helium], and 4.7% from a year ago [Helium]).
August 30, 2023: The company's downgrade from “hold” to “sell” by StockNews.com [beststocks.com], market complacency indicated by low implied volatility [Helium], and negative historical return for downside convexity [Helium] suggest market uncertainty.
Show historical takeaways
June 23, 2023: CLMT presents a mixed outlook, with potential upside opportunities but facing increased uncertainty and historical underperformance.
July 18, 2023: CLMT's mixed performance involving missed EPS targets and strong revenue leaves investors with a nuanced view that considers both potential risks and rewards [seekingalpha.com, aaii.com].
August 08, 2023: CLMT’s future carries mixed implications; while it boasts of strong revenue performance, consistent EPS misses and declining share price signal potential risks [Helium].
August 30, 2023: While CLMT demonstrates growth potential in the renewables industry [seekingalpha.com], price performance remains uncertain with mixed analyst ratings [beststocks.com] and divergence between AI and market forecasts [Helium, Helium, Helium]. Prudence is needed in assessing the firm's future prospects.
* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy
of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions,
you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.