COMM Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The bullish case for COMM hinges on potential growth from insider buying and anticipated recovery in telecom demand, supported by a Helium implied volatility forecast suggesting upward price movement in the near term.




Bearish Case: Conversely, the bearish case is supported by high implied volatility indicating market skepticism, coupled with ongoing weak demand in the telecom sector, leading to potential price declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of significant recovery driven by insider buying and positive sector sentiment.
  • 40% chance of continuing decline due to high volatility and poor market conditions.
  • 30% chance of sideways movement as market digests mixed signals




Trading Oracle: Consider executing a bullish call debit spread: buy $5.00 calls expiring December 20, 2024, while selling $6.00 calls for premium offset. This strategy utilizes current elevated implied volatility for potential upside, while capping downside risk. Target 30% profit with a positive risk-reward ratio.



December 12, 2024


CommScope Forecast

COMM        CommScope











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COMM



RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.91)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.89)


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (0.89)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.89)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COMM



GOOGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOGL  Alphabet (-0.0)


MSFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSFT  Microsoft (0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.01)


AVTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVTR  Avantor (0.01)


GOOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOG  Alphabet (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COMM



MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.84)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.85)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.86)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (-0.86)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.91)









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