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COOK Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: COOK's potential for technological integration in grilling may boost demand. Social media reflects a passionate user base, suggesting resilience. Lower implied volatilities for mid-term options hint at positive stability.



Bearish Case: Historical data shows a high probability of negative returns. High implied volatility and low trading volumes in options suggest market apprehension, while economic pressures could reduce consumer spending on premium products.



Potential Outcomes:
1) Continued mean reversion with -10% return: 40% chance.

2) Positive seasonal demand sees +15%: 25% chance.

3) Economic downturn results in -20%: 35% chance.


March 24, 2025


Traeger Forecast

COOK        Traeger

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COOK


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.8)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.79)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.76)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.75)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COOK


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (-0.01)


DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (0.01)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.01)


ARQT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARQT  Arcutis Biotherapeutics (-0.01)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COOK


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.62)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.64)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.65)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.68)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.79)







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