COST Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Costco's robust membership growth and strategic expansions boost investor confidence despite macroeconomic challenges. The historical price return tendency supports sustained growth.




Bearish Case: Rising operational costs and union dissatisfaction could pressure margins. Product recalls and market saturation concerns raise risks amidst flat recent price action.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued membership and sales growth (60%).
  • Operational cost pressures trim margins (25%).
  • Product recall impacts trust and sales (10%).
  • Expansion boosts cross-border sales (5%).



March 21, 2025


Costco Forecast

COST        Costco











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