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CUBA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential easing of U.S. sanctions could drive tourism and investment, with historical trends suggesting possibilities of reversal in CUBA's fortunes.

Bearish Case: Continued geopolitical tensions and inconsistent reforms increase risks of further economic isolation, aligning with historical trends showing predominant negative returns.

Potential Outcomes: Sanctions Easing (30%): Leads to recovery.
Continued Tensions (50%): Results in further decline.
Political Changes (20%): Trigger short-term rallies.

March 12, 2025

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Forecast

CUBA Herzfeld Caribbean Basin

Price Forecast
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Assets that tend to move strongly with CUBA

TITN Titan Machinery (0.8)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.74)

DAN Dana (0.73)

BB BlackBerry (0.71)

HES Hess (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CUBA

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.0)

IPI Intrepid Potash (-0.01)

BAX Baxter International (-0.01)

RIO Rio Tinto (0.01)

BCE BCE (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUBA

FE Firstenergy (-0.74)

DOC Physicians Realty (-0.76)

EXR Extra Space Storage (-0.78)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.78)

EIX Edison International (-0.82)

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