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DAWN Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Positive catalysts, including upcoming FDA approvals and strong pipeline developments indicate potential for significant upside. Current trading activity suggests increased speculative interest in calls, bolstered by high implied volatility.



Bearish Case: Market sentiment could shift negatively due to an impending flat price action, coupled with historical performance indicating limited positive returns over longer holding periods, creating potential downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. FDA approval leading to a +30% spike (30% likelihood);

2. Biotech sector rally boosting shares by +20% (25% likelihood);

3. Clinical trial setbacks causing a -25% drop (15% likelihood);

4. Sustained flat action (-30% chance).



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November 13, 2024


Day One Biopharmaceuticals Forecast

DAWN        Day One Biopharmaceuticals

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