DEM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: High past returns and lower volatility suggest DEM may appreciate if emerging markets stabilize.




Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and geopolitical tensions pose risks to DEM, indicating potential decline.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance minor gain, 25% substantial gain, 20% minor loss, 15% major loss.




Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread: buy 42C, sell 45C for March expiry. Favorable due to historical returns and implied volatility differences. Hold for 60-90 days.



January 08, 2025


WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Forecast

DEM        WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEM



XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.83)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.8)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.76)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.71)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEM



HXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HXL  Hexcel (0.0)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.0)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.0)


VIST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIST  Vista Oil & Gas Sab De Cv (-0.0)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEM



DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.51)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.53)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.54)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.54)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.57)









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