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DG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: DG's store expansions and operational improvements, especially focusing on underserved markets, hint at recovery potential as evidenced by recent upward price trends.



Bearish Case: Continued safety issues and regulatory challenges imply ongoing reputational and financial risks. The high short-term volatility reflects uncertainty, backed by bearish AI forecasts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Operational improvement boosts stock (30%).
  • Regulatory challenges depress growth (40%).
  • Successful expansion in rural areas (20%).
  • Market competition pressures margins (10%).


April 23, 2025


Dollar General Forecast

DG        Dollar General

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DG


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (0.86)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.85)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.83)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.83)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DG


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.0)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.01)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.02)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DG


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (-0.89)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (-0.9)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (-0.9)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (-0.9)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (-0.91)







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