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DM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DM shows recovery potential, with recent price trends indicating demand stability. High call volume and upcoming product launches could drive upward momentum.

Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility suggests ongoing market uncertainty. High put volume and mean-reverting tendencies indicate potential for price decline.

Potential Outcomes: DM reaches positive EBITDA, boosting sentiment (40%). Market volatility leads to further decline (50%). Slight uptick or stable trend (10%).

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread using DM 02/21/2025 2.50 C and 3.00 C. Capitalize on high implied volatility and strong call volume, aiming for gains within 2 months. This strategy has a positive edge with an attractive reward-to-risk ratio amidst current market conditions.

January 29, 2025

Desktop Metal Forecast

DM Desktop Metal

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DM

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.78)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (0.75)

BBY Best Buy (0.74)

WPM Wheaton Precious Metals (0.73)

SO Southern (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DM

CG Carlyle (0.0)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.0)

AMLX AMLX (-0.01)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.01)

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DM

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.75)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.76)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.76)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (-0.77)

ABCL AbCellera Biologics (-0.77)

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