DOG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Upcoming earnings reports may trigger a bullish reversal. Favorable macroeconomic indicators could boost sentiment, as suggested by reduced future volatility in the helium uncertainty image.




Bearish Case: Sustained macroeconomic uncertainty and historically negative returns imply continued downward pressure. The DOG implied volatility surface shows elevated short-term risk, indicating potential declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Market correction brings DOG to $28 (30%);

2. Continued decline to $24 (50%);

3. Sideways trend around $26 (20%) due to low trading volume. Predictions weigh historical trends and implied volatilities.




Trading Oracle: Bearish credit spread strategy: Sell 28P, buy 26P to capitalize on high implied volatility and potential decline. Time frame: 1-2 months. Maximize edge by exploiting implied premium, minimizing losses.



December 27, 2024


ProShares Short Dow30 Forecast

DOG        ProShares Short Dow30











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOG



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.92)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (0.84)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.83)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (0.82)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOG



RVNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVNC  Revance Therapeutics (0.0)


BHF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHF  Brighthouse Financial (-0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)


LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOG



GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (-0.93)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.93)


VTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTV  Vanguard Value (-0.94)


SPLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLV  Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (-0.94)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (-0.97)









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