DOG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DOG's recent modest upward price movement, combined with a potential decline in SPY, suggests a hedge against market downturns.




Bearish Case: DOG's persistent long-term negative returns and continued high implied volatility signal ongoing risks of price decline.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued sideways trend (50%) from trading stagnation.

2. Minor rally (20%) due to SPY's possible downturn.

3. Further decline (30%) from sustained volatility and weak historical performance.



April 04, 2025


ProShares Short Dow30 Forecast

DOG        ProShares Short Dow30











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOG



SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (0.96)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (0.86)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.81)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.74)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOG



SEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEE  Sealed Air (0.03)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.03)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.04)


ZIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZIM  Zim Integrated Shipping Services (0.04)


TRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRI  Thomson-Reuters (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOG



PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (-0.95)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (-0.95)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (-0.95)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (-0.96)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (-0.97)









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