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DOG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Subdued volatility and a potential market downturn may boost DOG as a hedge, with historical support around current prices.

Bearish Case: DOG's historical return surface suggests continued negative trends, with low volatility signaling limited short-term opportunities for upward movement.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of minor gains due to volatility reduction; 40% chance of continued decline; 30% chance of stability near $25.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread: sell 28P, buy 26P. Leverage high implied volatility with risks skewed bearish. Timeframe: 1-2 months for maximum effectiveness.

February 05, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOG

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.92)

RILY B. Riley Financial (0.84)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.84)

SHLS Shoals (0.84)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOG

DELL Dell (0.0)

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (0.02)

DOMO Domo (-0.02)

GPN Global Payments (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOG

SAP Sap SE (-0.94)

CBRE CBRE (-0.94)

VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (-0.94)

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (-0.97)

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (-0.98)

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