DV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DoubleVerify's strong innovation in ad fraud prevention and growing market adoption could drive significant growth, supported by rising social media sentiment favoring the company's technology.




Bearish Case: Market skepticism regarding the effectiveness of DV's ad solutions and historical declines suggest potential for continued downward pressure on the stock price.




Potential Outcomes: Market stabilization post-earnings (50%). Further decline if bearish predictions materialize (30%). Upside if new partnerships announced (20%).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility credit spread by selling DV $20 put and buying $17.5 put, expiring in 44 days. High probability of profit (75%), with positive return profile (28%). Target the period of elevated implied volatility via Helium's model.



January 10, 2025


DoubleVerify Forecast

DV        DoubleVerify











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