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EAT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Brinker's streamlined menu and strong sales momentum enhance growth prospects, buoyed by marketing strategies and improved guest experience.

Bearish Case: Elevated operational costs and sector challenges like labor shortages may curb profit margins, coupled with high implied volatility indicating market skepticism.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of sales-driven upswing in stock prices.
40% chance of stagnation from macroeconomic pressures.
30% chance of declines due to high costs impacting margins.

Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility: Sell ATM call options, buy OTM call options. Chosen due to high IV and flat term structure, providing favorable risk-reward with potential IV collapse advantage.

March 25, 2025

Brinker International Forecast

EAT Brinker International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EAT

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DVN Devon Energy (-0.89)

CRON Cronos (-0.9)

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GES Guess (-0.95)

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