ORLY Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ORLY shows strong historical performance and resilience with a bullish risk skew. Helium's implied volatility is above market expectations, indicating potential upward movement.




Bearish Case: Flat term structure and low trading volume suggest potential for stagnation. High recent put volume compared to calls raises concerns about downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price recovery driven by strategic growth (30%).

2. Continued stagnation due to competitive pressures (45%).

3. Broader market downturn affecting price (25%).




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May 06, 2025


O'Reilly Automotive Forecast

ORLY        O'Reilly Automotive











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORLY



ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (0.94)


BR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BR  Broadridge Financial Solutions (0.94)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (0.93)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.92)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORLY



RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


TTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTI  Tetra Technologies (-0.01)


EGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EGO  Eldorado Gold (-0.02)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (-0.02)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORLY



MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.94)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.94)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.94)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.94)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.94)









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