EWY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: The term structure shows a tendency for decreasing volatility, suggesting a stabilization phase. Additionally, low historical returns and mean reversion create a conducive environment for potential upside recovery.


Bearish Case: The implied volatility surface indicates higher uncertainty at lower strikes, suggesting potential downside. High put trading volumes also signal bearish sentiment, highlighting potential risks ahead.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Neutral market action (40%) given historical mean reversion and AI price forecasts.

2. Further downturns (35%) driven by higher uncertainty at lower strikes.

3. Modest recovery (25%) due to stabilizing volatility and bullish sentiment.


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July 03, 2024


iShares MSCI South Korea Forecast

EWY      iShares MSCI South Korea











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UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.82)


JMIA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JMIA  Jumia Technologies Ag (0.8)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOCN  DigitalOcean (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EWY



BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.0)


CDLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDLX  Cardlytics (-0.0)


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (0.0)


FIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVN  Five9 (-0.0)


XMTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XMTR  Xometry (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EWY



SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.64)


LEU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEU  Centrus Energy (-0.64)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.7)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.73)





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