EWY Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The recent stabilization in implied volatility coupled with historical mean-reverting behavior suggests potential for a positive price move. Institutional support and demand in the semiconductor sector could drive prices upwards in the medium term.




Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and high future implied volatility indicate risks that could lead to further declines. The substantial put volume suggests market sentiment is leaning towards bearish expectations, especially with economic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Recovery driven by institutional investments in semiconductors (30%).

2. Continued downside pressure from geopolitical tensions (40%).

3. Stagnant market reflecting uncertainty in economic stability (30%).




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November 20, 2024


iShares MSCI South Korea Forecast

EWY        iShares MSCI South Korea











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