CEG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: CEG's leading role in AI-driven data centers and clean energy positions it for sustained growth, evidenced by positive historic prices and full regulatory support


Bearish Case: Regulatory hurdles and historically fluctuating returns could dampen growth prospects in a high valuation environment with potential oversaturation risks


Potential Outcomes:

1. Policy support for clean energy (70%);

2. Regulatory risks reducing profitability (20%);

3. Investments in AI data centers boosting demand (50%)


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish short vol. Sell 1 $175 put, buy 1 $170 put, expiring in ~25 days. This capitalizes on higher Helium odds of profit (70%), positive edge, and manageable risk. Time outlook: short-term.


July 23, 2024


Constellation Energy Forecast

CEG      Constellation Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CEG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.76)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CEG



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.76)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.85)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CEG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.76)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.85)





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