EXR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EXR may benefit from strategic urbanization and e-commerce growth, boosting occupancy and revenue. The implied volatility suggests room for upward revisions.




Bearish Case: Market saturation and high interest rates pose risks, with aggressive price hikes alienating customers, impacting demand and revenue.




Potential Outcomes: For EXR, continued growth (60%), saturation and decline (30%), acquisition hiccups (5%), and economic shocks (5%).




Trading Oracle: Given the high implied volatility, consider a short volatility strategy with credit spreads. Sell EXR $155 puts and buy $150 puts, expiring June 2025, to profit from time decay and volatility contraction. Expect stabilization within 3 months.



February 21, 2025


Extra Space Storage Forecast

EXR        Extra Space Storage











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EXR



ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.85)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.84)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (0.83)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.83)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXR



PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.0)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.01)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKK  ARK Innovation (-0.01)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (-0.01)


ARQT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARQT  Arcutis Biotherapeutics (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXR



TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.7)


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (-0.73)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.79)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.82)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)









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