EXR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong urbanization trends and strategic acquisitions enhance EXR's growth potential, supported by a resilient real estate market and elevated historical returns.




Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and market saturation challenge EXR's profitability, potentially affecting occupancy rates and revenue stability amid increased volatility.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Revenue growth due to strategic acquisitions (60%);

2) Saturated market hindering growth, causing decline (30%);

3) Improved market share with technological advancements (10%).




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying EXR $150 call and selling $155 call, expiring March 2025. Capitalize on decreasing implied volatility and favorable sentiment over a 60-day horizon. Expect a high reward-to-risk ratio leveraging positive growth expectations.



January 16, 2025


Extra Space Storage Forecast

EXR        Extra Space Storage











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ALHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALHC  Alignment Healthcare (0.83)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXR



CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.0)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.01)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.01)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXR



IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (-0.79)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (-0.79)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.8)


NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (-0.81)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (-0.82)









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