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FANG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FANG's strong institutional buying and low volatility coupled with an upcoming earnings report could drive the stock price up as the market reacts positively, potentially reaching $190.



Bearish Case: Continued insider selling and bearish sentiment towards natural gas prices may press FANG's stock lower, with probabilities suggesting a potential decline to $170.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 35% chance: Increased prices driven by recovering natural gas prices.

2. 40% chance: Price stability around current levels amid market uncertainty.

3. 25% chance: Continued price decline due to weak natural gas pricing and investor sentiment.



Trading Oracle: Leverage current market conditions with a bearish credit spread by selling 1 $180 call and buying 2 $187.5 calls, benefiting from implied volatility drop. Expected probability of profit: 85%. This strategy balances risk, aiming for a return on investment of approximately 12% over the next month.


November 27, 2024


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FANG        Diamondback Energy

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FANG


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.89)


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (0.83)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.78)


MU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MU  Micron Technology (0.78)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FANG


LAZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAZ  Lazard (0.0)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (0.0)


NAIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NAIL  Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (0.01)


ELAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ELAN  Elanco Animal Health (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FANG


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTS  Zoetis (-0.73)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.76)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (-0.78)


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (-0.83)







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