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FANG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive earnings outlook and institutional support in the Permian Basin push potential growth, alongside favorable energy prices.

Bearish Case: Volatile oil prices and high insider sales, compounded by environmental concerns and high implied volatility, threaten sustainable gains.

Potential Outcomes: 30%: Price rise from strategic growth and energy market recovery.
45%: Stability due to mixed sentiment offset by market conditions.
25%: Decline driven by environmental policy pressures and oil price drops.

Trading Oracle: Implementing a Bearish Short Volatility strategy by selling ATM calls and buying more OTM calls is tactical due to elevated implied volatility and potential price stability within a mean-reverting context. The strategy leverages market fear while hedging exposures.

March 09, 2025

Diamondback Energy Forecast

FANG Diamondback Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FANG

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (0.94)

DVN Devon Energy (0.93)

GES Guess (0.89)

RIG Transocean (0.89)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FANG

ENVX Enovix (0.01)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)

TSN Tyson Foods (-0.01)

UBER Uber (-0.01)

EIX Edison International (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FANG

PM Philip Morris International (-0.85)

TPB Turning Point Brands (-0.85)

ERJ Embraer (-0.85)

EVRG Evergy (-0.85)

SAP Sap SE (-0.86)

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