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FANG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Diamondback Energy's strong operational performance in the Permian Basin, increased call options volume, and strategic clean energy initiatives suggest robust growth potential.



Bearish Case: Volatility in oil prices, environmental concerns, and past declines despite optimistic forecasts present risks, impacting the strength of bullish narratives.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Price increase due to better energy pricing and strategic initiatives (35%).
  2. Stability driven by market balancing effects of bullish and bearish factors (40%).
  3. Price decline from persistent volatile oil prices and investor skepticism (25%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a quick gamma decay strategy with a bullish short put spread by selling $157.5 put and buying $150 put, expiring in ~15 days. Forecast volatility favors this, with market odds of profit at 77% and potential 15% return leveraged by mean-reverting price action.


February 07, 2025


Diamondback Energy Forecast

FANG        Diamondback Energy

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DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.87)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.87)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.82)


NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (0.81)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FANG


FREY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FREY  FREYR Battery (0.0)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (-0.01)


NRDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRDS  Nerdwallet (0.01)


ROOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROOT  Root (0.01)


VIXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXM  ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FANG


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (-0.69)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.73)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (-0.73)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (-0.77)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (-0.82)







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