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FANG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Diamondback Energy's strong operational performance in the Permian Basin, increased call options volume, and strategic clean energy initiatives suggest robust growth potential.



Bearish Case: Volatility in oil prices, environmental concerns, and past declines despite optimistic forecasts present risks, impacting the strength of bullish narratives.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Price increase due to better energy pricing and strategic initiatives (35%).
  2. Stability driven by market balancing effects of bullish and bearish factors (40%).
  3. Price decline from persistent volatile oil prices and investor skepticism (25%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a quick gamma decay strategy with a bullish short put spread by selling $157.5 put and buying $150 put, expiring in ~15 days. Forecast volatility favors this, with market odds of profit at 77% and potential 15% return leveraged by mean-reverting price action.


February 07, 2025


Diamondback Energy Forecast

FANG        Diamondback Energy

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Assets that tend to move strongly with FANG


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.93)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.92)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.91)


NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (0.89)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FANG


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.0)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.01)


ROOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROOT  Root (0.01)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.01)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FANG


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.82)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.82)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.82)


G Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   G  Genpact (-0.83)


REG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REG  Regency Centers (-0.84)







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