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FAS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FAS shows strong upward potential with a 37.1% yearly gain and bullish sentiment dominating. Implied volatility surfaces indicate potential favorable market moves.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and flat recent price action warn of profit-taking risks. Low trading volume at 1st percentile increases potential for sudden downward shifts.

Potential Outcomes: Upside continuation to $160 (55%) from strong sector trends.
Stagnation around $150 (30%) due to volatility spikes.
Retracement to $140 (15%) if economic indicators falter.

May 10, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FAS

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.97)

NDAQ Nasdaq (0.97)

CRH CRH Plc (0.96)

AXP American Express (0.95)

BAM Brookfield Asset (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FAS

HL Hecla Mining (0.0)

APPF Appfolio (-0.01)

CWEN Clearway Energy (-0.01)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.01)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FAS

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.68)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.69)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.69)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.73)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.79)

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