FAS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FAS shows potential for upward movement due to increased implied volatility, positive volume dynamics, and strong historical returns. Continued gains in the financial sector could enhance performance.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent flat price action suggest downside risks. Profit-taking and market uncertainty, especially if economic data disappoint, may lead to declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stagnation around current levels (40%) due to flat implied volatility.
  2. Upside momentum to $160 (30%) driven by sector strength.
  3. Downturn to $145 (30%) if economic indicators falter.




Trading Oracle: Implement a Bullish Short Volatility strategy by selling ATM put options and buying OOTM put options. This leverages strong historical returns and positive volume. Favorable volatility skews support this approach as the market trend aligns with potential sector strength.



March 30, 2025


Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares Forecast

FAS        Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FAS



JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.96)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.96)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.96)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (0.95)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FAS



AIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIG  American International (-0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.01)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.03)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.03)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FAS



BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.84)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.85)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.86)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.86)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.86)









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