FIVE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Five Below's continued expansion and strategic alignment with consumer trends suggest potential recovery, supported by lower implied volatility in later dates and positive social sentiment.




Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility in closer expiries, high put volume, and recent price drop indicate potential sustained negative pressure, exacerbated by operational inefficiencies and economic downturns.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Expansion plans support moderate growth despite headwinds.
  • 30%: Operational issues and market pressures cause further declines.
  • 10%: Unexpected industry disruptions boost share price significantly.



April 27, 2025


Five Below Forecast

FIVE        Five Below











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FIVE



HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (0.84)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.75)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.73)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.73)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FIVE



SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.0)


ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (0.0)


WHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHD  Cactus (0.01)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.01)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FIVE



WNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNS  WNS Holdings Limited (-0.66)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.68)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.69)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.72)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.72)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with FIVE


 Ask any question about FIVE!