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W Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Wayfair's strategic cost-cutting and physical store expansion could boost profitability. Stable implied volatility and positive sentiment around demand improvements, especially in niche markets, support a potential upside.



Bearish Case: High volatility and historical losses indicate ongoing financial struggles. The underperformance compared to SPY volatility emphasizes potential declines, especially with economic pressures and market share loss to competitors.



Potential Outcomes: Growth through strategic expansion and partnerships (30%). Cost-cutting inefficiencies lead to decline (50%). Seasonal demand spikes sustain stability (20%).


March 16, 2025











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EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.8)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.78)


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to W


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.0)


ULCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULCC  Frontier (-0.01)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.01)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.01)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against W


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.67)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.68)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (-0.68)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.73)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.75)







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