FLO Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong brand portfolio and historical resilience suggest a bounce back. Option volume trends to the bullish side indicate positive sentiment despite recent declines.




Bearish Case: Price decline trends and high implied volatility in options suggest ongoing market skepticism. Macroeconomic pressures and insider sales amplify downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rebounds to $22-$24 (50% probability).

2. Continues current decline (30% probability).

3. M&A or positive earnings surprise spikes price (20% probability).




Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread using FLO July 2025 $22.50 calls and writing $25 calls. Capitalize on expected mean reversion, with historical floors supporting $22. Time horizon: 6 months. Potential annualized return of 20% with a high probability of success leveraging low vol environment.



January 03, 2025


Flowers Foods Forecast

FLO        Flowers Foods











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SON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SON  Sonoco Products (0.75)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.71)


CSGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSGP  Costar Group (0.7)


BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (0.69)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FLO



GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (-0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.0)


SA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SA  Seabridge Gold (0.01)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.01)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FLO



VRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNA  Verona Pharma (-0.59)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (-0.59)


INSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSM  Insmed (-0.59)


EVGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVGO  EVgo (-0.61)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (-0.61)









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