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FOUR Forecast

Bullish Case: Shift4 Payments shows promising growth with strategic partnerships and increased call option volume. The bullish sentiment and implied volatility suggest potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: FOUR faces challenges with flat implied volatility and recent price drops. Mean reversion tendencies and economic factors could drive the price lower, reflecting market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes:
Price rises above $95 (35% chance) due to strategic growth and partnerships.

Remains stable around $85 (45% chance) with mixed market signals.

Declines to $75 (20% chance) if economic conditions worsen.

March 30, 2025

Shift4 Payments Forecast

FOUR Shift4 Payments

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FOUR

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.96)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.95)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (0.94)

IWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.94)

AXP American Express (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOUR

CZR Caesars Entertainment (-0.0)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.0)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.01)

ADI Analog Devices (0.01)

EIX Edison International (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOUR

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.83)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.83)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.84)

STM New York Shares (-0.84)

NKTX Nkarta (-0.84)

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