FOUR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FOUR's increasing call volume and strong bullish risk (28% more than bearish) highlight optimism for future growth.




Bearish Case: Mean reversion tendencies and declining trading volume may signal an impending price correction.




Potential Outcomes: FOUR rises above $120 (45%), stabilizes near $110 (35%), or drops below $100 (20%).




Trading Oracle: Engage a bullish debit spread: buy $110 call, sell $115 call, expire in 60 days. Leverages contango structure and bullish sentiment. Positive edge, high reward:risk, elevated probability of profit.



January 05, 2025


Shift4 Payments Forecast

FOUR        Shift4 Payments











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FOUR



TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (0.87)


ACLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACLX  Arcellx (0.85)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.82)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.8)


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOUR



SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.0)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.01)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (-0.01)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.02)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOUR



RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (-0.8)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.8)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.82)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.82)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.85)









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