FOUR Forecast


Bullish Case: Shift4 Payments shows promising growth with strategic partnerships and increased call option volume. The bullish sentiment and implied volatility suggest potential upward momentum.




Bearish Case: FOUR faces challenges with flat implied volatility and recent price drops. Mean reversion tendencies and economic factors could drive the price lower, reflecting market uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price rises above $95 (35% chance) due to strategic growth and partnerships.
  • Remains stable around $85 (45% chance) with mixed market signals.
  • Declines to $75 (20% chance) if economic conditions worsen.



March 30, 2025


Shift4 Payments Forecast

FOUR        Shift4 Payments











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FOUR



VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.95)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.94)


ADSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADSK  Autodesk (0.94)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.94)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOUR



BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.01)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.03)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.03)


AMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMH  American Homes 4 Rent (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOUR



WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.86)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.87)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.9)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.9)









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