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FOUR Forecast


Bullish Case: Shift4 Payments shows promising growth with strategic partnerships and increased call option volume. The bullish sentiment and implied volatility suggest potential upward momentum.



Bearish Case: FOUR faces challenges with flat implied volatility and recent price drops. Mean reversion tendencies and economic factors could drive the price lower, reflecting market uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price rises above $95 (35% chance) due to strategic growth and partnerships.
  • Remains stable around $85 (45% chance) with mixed market signals.
  • Declines to $75 (20% chance) if economic conditions worsen.


March 30, 2025


Shift4 Payments Forecast

FOUR        Shift4 Payments

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Assets that tend to move strongly with FOUR


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.96)


PJT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PJT  PJT (0.95)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.95)


LMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMB  Limbach (0.95)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOUR


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.0)


VGIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGIT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (-0.01)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.01)


APG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APG  APi (0.02)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOUR


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.86)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.87)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.87)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.9)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.9)







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