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FXE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FXE's historical mean-reverting behavior and current economic recovery signs in the Eurozone could boost the Euro's value. Low implied volatility suggests upside potential for FXE.

Bearish Case: Persisting geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties in the Eurozone may weigh on the Euro, potentially driving FXE down, further influenced by low options trading volume.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Sideways movement due to flat volatility: 50%.

2. Moderate uptrend with economic improvement: 30%.

3. Downturn from geopolitical tension: 20%.

Trading Oracle: Implement a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by purchasing OOTM call options and selling fewer further OOTM call options. FXE's potential upside with low volatility justifies this. Strategy Details

April 02, 2025

Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Forecast

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FXE

TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.78)

VOD Vodafone (0.78)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.72)

AMGN AMGEN (0.71)

AZN Astrazeneca (0.7)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FXE

INTU Intuit (0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.0)

SG Sweetgreen (0.0)

IBN ICICI (0.02)

SEE Sealed Air (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FXE

TTI Tetra Technologies (-0.73)

CG Carlyle (-0.75)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.76)

HUBS HubSpot (-0.8)

PCOR Procore (-0.82)

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