GPRE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Sustained bullish sentiment from insider purchases and improving fundamentals could drive GPRE higher. Helium's positive edge trading models and historical returns support potential gains.


Bearish Case: Ongoing insider sales and low earnings forecast create a bearish outlook. Elevated implied volatility and historical underperformance signal declining price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued decline: 40%.

2. Stabilization: 30%.

3. Short-term rally: 30%. Predictions hinge on market volatility and insider activities.


Trading Oracle: Bearish short volatility strategy is optimal. Sell 3 $15.0 call options expiring in ~42 days, buy 4 $16.0 call options. Positive alpha potential, 82% probability of profit, leveraging Helium's models and recent market data. High reward:risk ratio.


July 07, 2024


Green Plains Forecast

GPRE      Green Plains











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GPRE



MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (0.95)


CMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMP  Compass Minerals International (0.94)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (0.94)


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (0.93)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GPRE



ULTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULTA  Ulta Beauty (0.0)


CRVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRVS  Corvus Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


SMAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMAR  Smartsheet (-0.0)


HOLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOLX  Hologic (-0.0)


TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TEX  Terex (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GPRE



CLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLS  Celestica (-0.93)


VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (-0.93)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.93)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.94)


ANF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANF  Abercrombie & Fitch (-0.94)





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