MOS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Mosaic's agricultural sector could benefit from stabilized crop prices and positive sector trends. Historical data indicates mean-reverting price action and potential support for further strategic initiatives.


Bearish Case: Mosaic faces considerable downside risks from a global economic slowdown and high volatility forecasts. Negative price movement and headwinds in the agriculture sector amplify downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of gains due to fertilizer demand, 30% chance of loss from macro economic impacts and volatility, 10% chance of neutral performance.


Trading Oracle: According to MOS implied volatility data and historical patterns, trading a bearish short volatility strategy seems optimal. Sell near-money calls and buy further OTM protection puts, targeting 60-day window for high profit probability. Aligns with Helium's bearish forecast and ensures favorable edge and reward:risk ratio.


July 19, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOS



PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.92)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (0.92)


GPRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPRE  Green Plains (0.91)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.91)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOS



FLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLO  Flowers Foods (0.0)


NLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLY  Annaly (-0.0)


FPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FPI  Farmland (-0.0)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (0.01)


PBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBF  PBF Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOS



CAMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAMT  Camtek (-0.89)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPOT  Spotify Technology (-0.89)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.89)


ANF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANF  Abercrombie & Fitch (-0.9)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.91)


MOS News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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