Bullish Case: Sustained agricultural demand and MOS's strategic technology initiatives hint at an upside potential, with historical mean-reverting patterns suggesting a possible rally.


Bearish Case: The recent underperforming price action and high Helium volatility forecast indicate potential near-term struggles and increased market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes: 55% chance MOS leverages agricultural demand for gains; 30% chance economic downturn hurts; 15% probability global events cause high volatility.


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March 30, 2024


Mosaic Forecast

MOS        Mosaic
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOS



ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.9)


NTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTR  Nutrien (0.88)


CWEB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEB  Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.79)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (0.79)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.78)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MOS



PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)


ATNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATNM  Actinium Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


F Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   F  Ford Motor (0.0)


IREN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IREN  IREN (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOS



GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEO  Geo Group (-0.71)


ALXO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALXO  Alx Oncology (-0.72)


CRNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNX  Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (-0.72)


WING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WING  Wingstop (-0.73)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPOT  Spotify Technology (-0.74)





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