MED Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strategic pivots in the health sector and improved product offerings could catalyze a MED recovery. Increased call volume and historical mean-reversion suggest potential upside.




Bearish Case: Persistent operational challenges, high volatility, and bearish market sentiment may drive MED further down. Price near historical lows and high implied volatility indicate continued bearish pressures.




Potential Outcomes:

1) MED rebound from strategic pivots (25%).

2) Continued decline due to persistent challenges (60%).

3) Stabilization around current levels (15%).



March 27, 2025


Medifast Forecast

MED        Medifast











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MED



ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.91)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.89)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.88)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.88)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MED



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.01)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (0.01)


ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (0.02)


VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MED



EAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EAT  Brinker International (-0.85)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.85)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.86)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.86)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.87)









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