MED Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Despite recent performance issues, MED could rebound as health and wellness trends gain traction. Strategic marketing and a possible shift in consumer preferences may support a price stabilization and recovery, especially as implied volatility decreases over time.


Bearish Case: Persistent operational challenges, bearish market sentiment, and high historical price volatility suggest MED might decline further. The substantial distance from previous highs and limited bullish catalysts signal a risky environment for investment.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rally due to industry trends (35% chance).

2. Continued decline from operational struggles (45% chance).

3. Stagnation as investors await clear signals (20% chance).


Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread by selling the $20 call and buying the $25 call, expiration in ~25 days. High implied volatility favors this approach with a market odds of profit at 66%. Time horizon is short-term given market uncertainty.


July 24, 2024










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Assets that tend to move strongly with MED



HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.97)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (0.96)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.96)


STEM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STEM  Stem (0.96)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MED



OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.0)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (0.0)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (0.01)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.01)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MED



VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (-0.96)


ANF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANF  Abercrombie & Fitch (-0.96)


CLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLS  Celestica (-0.97)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.97)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPOT  Spotify Technology (-0.97)





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