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HRI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HRI’s current implied volatility and historical returns suggest strong potential for upward movement, supported by robust financials and strategic growth initiatives.



Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and market uncertainties, coupled with a recent history of price drops, indicate potential for further declines, especially if economic conditions worsen.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Market Stabilization: 50%
  • Volatility Driven Fluctuations: 30%
  • Strong Bullish Rally: 20%



Trading Oracle: Utilize Bullish Short Volatility strategy, selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts. This aligns with the current positive implied volatility trend, capturing potential upside from market stabilization signs.


May 04, 2025


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HRI        Herc

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HRI


BANC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BANC  Banc of California (0.9)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.89)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.89)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.86)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HRI


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.0)


MUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUX  McEwen Mining (-0.01)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.02)


ENS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENS  Enersys (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HRI


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.62)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.65)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.66)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.67)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.73)







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