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HST Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HST's backwardation indicates potential for upward moves with favorable implied volatility conditions.



Bearish Case: Heavy put option volume suggests bearish sentiment and potential downside pressure on HST.



Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of slow recovery towards $18; 35% probability of sideways movement around $16; 20% risk of decline below $15 due to increased market volatility.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish short volatility strategy. Sell 5 $18 calls, buy 6 $19 calls expiring in 147 days. This captures edge from high put volumes and negative current sentiment. Expect a 33% potential return with a negative delta bias and limited downside risk. Monitor volatility spikes for adjustments.


February 23, 2025


Host Hotels & Resorts Forecast

HST        Host Hotels & Resorts

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HST


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.9)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.89)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.88)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (0.86)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HST


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.0)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (0.0)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.01)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (-0.01)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HST


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.74)


LTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTH  Life Time (-0.74)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.75)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.75)


CDNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNA  Caredx (-0.77)







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