SPCE Forecast


Bullish Case: Virgin Galactic's potential revenue growth from the Delta vehicle, rising ticket prices, and reduced costs may lead to a slower burn rate and eventual profitability, despite ongoing legal and financial challenges.


Bearish Case: High bankruptcy risk (52%), ongoing costly litigation with Boeing, and historical stock price decline (-91% over five years) reflect severe financial stress and operational challenges, potentially leading to delisting from NYSE.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Delta flight success increases revenue: 25%.

2. Bankruptcy before 2026: 52%.

3. Resolving Boeing lawsuit positively: 15%.

4. New funding or strategic partnership: 8%.


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May 01, 2024


Virgin Galactic Forecast

SPCE        Virgin Galactic
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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