IAT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: With IAT's current trading position at a substantial upswing from last year and continued support near the current price levels, coupled with Helium's positive edge, a bullish outlook is warranted given the forecasted modest growth and stability in implied volatility.


Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, IAT's significant declines from highs over the past years, combined with flat term structures and higher volatility at lower strike prices, suggest potential market concerns and downward pressure.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Modest uptrend continuation (45%): Supported by current rise and stability in volatility.

2. Correction/consolidation (30%): Likely due to fluctuating near-term sentiments.

3. Downward trend resumption (25%): If market concerns dominate sentiment.


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April 25, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks Forecast

IAT        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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