IG Forecast


Bullish Case: With IG trading nearly flat over the recent term but demonstrating historical resilience, there is potential for upside if macroeconomic conditions stabilize, driven by expectations of AI-driven corporate efficiencies.[Business Insider][Helium]


Bearish Case: Prolonged underperformance and stagnant recent price action suggest systemic issues. Negative market sentiment reflected in online discussions could deter investors, further eroding value.[Helium][Helium]


Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory scrutiny impacts tech earnings (-21%).

2. AI integration boosts efficiency (+50%).

3. Continued environmental challenges drag (-29%).

4. Floods disrupt local economies impacting bonds (-25%).


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June 23, 2024


Principal Investment Grade Corporate Forecast

IG      Principal Investment Grade Corporate











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IG



VCLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VCLT  Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (0.98)


MUB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares National Muni Bond (0.93)


XLRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLRE  Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (0.92)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.9)


FOUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOUR  Shift4 Payments (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IG



ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.0)


MTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTN  Vail Resorts (0.0)


LBRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LBRT  Liberty Oilfield Services (0.01)


CLMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLMT  Calumet Specialty Products (-0.01)


SMTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMTC  Semtech (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IG



IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.76)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.83)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.85)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.9)





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