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INCY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent Zynyz FDA approval enhances pipeline optimism, coupled with potential Opzelura expansion boosting revenues.

Bearish Case: High operational costs, market competition, and Jakafi patent expiration in 2028 pose significant revenue risks.

Potential Outcomes: Opzelura growth continues: 60% chance.
Competitive pressures hinder profits: 25% chance.
Pipeline approval delays: 15% chance.

May 20, 2025

Incyte Forecast

INCY Incyte

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FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to INCY

IPI Intrepid Potash (-0.0)

FE Firstenergy (0.0)

NKE Nike (0.01)

CLSK Cleanspark (0.01)

LEN Lennar (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against INCY

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.62)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.68)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.74)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.74)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.82)

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