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BEN Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Franklin Resources’ strategic acquisitions and strong dividend history are likely to bolster investor confidence, leading to steady stock appreciation.



Bearish Case: High operational costs and a shift towards passive investing could suppress BEN’s profitability, maintaining a bearish outlook amid historical price decline.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued cost challenges lead to slow growth (35%).

2) Strategic acquisitions improve outlook (30%).

3) Market volatility impacts stock unpredictably (20%).

4) Mean reversion maintains status quo (15%).



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread, buy $22.50 calls and sell $25.00 calls, targeting 6 months to expiration. This captures potential upward movement as volatility stabilizes, offering high reward-to-risk ratio. Aligns with moderate bullish outlook and favorable volatility conditions.


February 13, 2025


Franklin Resources Forecast

BEN        Franklin Resources

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AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.9)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BEN


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.01)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (-0.01)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.02)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BEN


CDNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNA  Caredx (-0.84)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.84)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.85)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.85)


LTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTH  Life Time (-0.86)







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