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KEYS Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: KEYS benefits from technological innovations in 6G and AI, with strong partnerships enhancing growth, supported by rising call volumes and a contango term structure.

Bearish Case: Existing macroeconomic uncertainties and declining revenues could lead to downside risks, exacerbated by insider selling and supply chain challenges, despite increased call volume.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of earnings beat via tech advances. 50% chance of in-line performance. 20% risk of miss from economic challenges in 2025.

Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish debit spread: buy $165 strike calls, sell $170 strike calls, expiry in 60 days. This aligns with contango and positive KEYS volatility trends, with a favorable reward-to-risk ratio and market optimism.

December 29, 2024

Keysight Forecast

KEYS Keysight

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KEYS

BYD Boyd Gaming (0.8)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (0.78)

TWLO Twilio (0.76)

ILMN Illumina (0.76)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KEYS

IGT International Game Technology (-0.0)

MSFT Microsoft (0.0)

TREX TREX Co. (-0.0)

VDE Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (0.01)

ALGN Align Technology (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KEYS

VAL Valaris (-0.56)

NSSC NAPCO Security (-0.56)

STAA Staar Surgical (-0.58)

OGN Organon (-0.66)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.67)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

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Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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