KIM Forecast


Bullish Case: The KIM options market exhibits rising implied volatility, suggesting traders anticipate upward price movement, likely fueled by strong sector fundamentals and recent tenant acquisitions, enhancing income stability.


Bearish Case: With high short-term implied volatility and historical price returns indicating a flat trend, concerns over macroeconomic conditions and rising interest rates may suppress KIM's price potential, risking further underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 50%: Continued flat performance due to economic pressures.

2. 30%: Growth driven by recovery in retail demand and grocery-anchored stability.

3. 20%: Significant downturn influenced by market volatility and high operating costs.


Trading Oracle: Consider establishing a bear call credit spread, focusing on KIM 10/18/2024 22.50/25.00 options. Given the high implied volatility and neutral to bearish outlook, this strategy provides attractive risk/reward, capitalizing on potential price stagnation.


July 25, 2024


Kimco Realty Forecast

KIM      Kimco Realty











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KIM



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KIM



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KIM



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)





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