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KIM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: KIM's focus on grocery-anchored properties offers stability, with historical returns showing potential for modest gains. Rising call volume suggests optimism.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent negative price trends indicate ongoing economic pressures. Limited likelihood of significant short-term appreciation.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of continued flat/stagnant performance. 25% chance of moderate price recovery. 15% chance of downturn due to macroeconomic factors.

Trading Oracle: Establish a bear call credit spread using KIM 04/17/2025 22.50/25.00. Strategy benefits from mean-reversion and recent implied volatility trends, offering attractive risk/reward. Short-term outlook with high probability of profit.

February 19, 2025

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KIM Kimco Realty

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