KMB Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Kimberly-Clark's strong brand presence and essential products like Huggies could drive steady demand despite economic challenges. Its sustainability efforts and cost-saving initiatives are likely to improve margins over time.




Bearish Case: High supply chain costs due to tariffs could pressure margins, and the high price-to-book ratio suggests potential overvaluation. Backwardation in the implied volatility term structure indicates market skepticism about future price growth.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of stabilization due to strong demand and cost-saving efforts.
  • 35% chance of price decline driven by tariff impacts and high valuation.
  • 25% chance of mild growth if strategic innovations succeed.



April 23, 2025


Kimberly-Clark Forecast

KMB        Kimberly-Clark











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