KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: KOLD exhibits a potential bullish uptick with Helium AI forecasting a 1.36% price increase. The bullish sentiment is 41% stronger, and call options see higher volume, indicating positive outlook from traders.




Bearish Case: KOLD faces significant bearish pressure with a long-term decline of over 89% and flat term structure. Implied volatility differences underline potential downside, with historical losses suggesting further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of bearish continuation given historical losses.
  • 30% chance of bullish spike due to market sentiment and AI forecast.
  • 30% chance volatility triggers unexpected outcomes.




Trading Oracle:
Implement a Bearish Short Volatility Strategy. The flat term structure and historical downside support selling ATM call options while buying more OTM call options. This strategy minimizes risk, capitalizing on predicted bearish trends and elevated volatility.



April 27, 2025


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOLD



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.79)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.78)


NBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NBR  Nabors Industries (0.76)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.75)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOLD



ENS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENS  Enersys (-0.0)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.0)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.0)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.0)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOLD



DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.67)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.7)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.71)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.73)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.83)









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