KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: KOLD's recent spike (170% from two years ago) and bullish Helium AI forecast (+2.24%) suggest momentum, despite a negative historical correlation with AI predictions.


Bearish Case: KOLD's historical price return is mean reverting with substantial declines over longer time frames (45.1% down from ten years ago).


Potential Outcomes: 65% chance KOLD maintains near-term bullish trend given AI forecast; 25% mean reversion continues; 10% external factors increase volatility.


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April 06, 2024


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOLD



PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (0.84)


EFX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFX  Equifax (0.84)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.83)


AMBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMBC  AMBAC Financial (0.83)


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.83)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to KOLD



PEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEN  Penumbra (0.0)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (-0.0)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (0.0)


SE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SE  Sea (0.0)


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOLD



DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.74)


ATSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATSG  Air Transport Services (-0.76)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.78)


EQT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQT  EQT (-0.83)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.91)





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