KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Helium AI predicts a 2.08% price increase and bullish risk is 86% more than bearish, suggesting potential for a rebound, especially if cold weather spikes natural gas demand.




Bearish Case: Despite short-term bullish signals, KOLD's historical trend is overwhelmingly negative, with a 97% decline from five years ago, illustrating persistent downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of bearish trend continuation due to historical declines.
  2. 30% chance of short-term bullish momentum from AI forecast.
  3. 20% chance of volatility driving unexpected outcomes.




Trading Oracle: Consider Bearish Long Volatility: Buy OOTM put options, sell fewer further OOTM puts. This strategy aligns with long-term bearish trends and elevated short-term implied volatility, offering potential for high-reward scenarios.



March 20, 2025


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOLD



IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (0.79)


NBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NBR  Nabors Industries (0.75)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.71)


TXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXT  Textron (0.7)


SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOLD



SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (-0.0)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.0)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.0)


MNKD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNKD  Mannkind (-0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOLD



HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.63)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (-0.63)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.7)


DESP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DESP  Despegar.com (-0.71)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.73)









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