KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: KOLD benefits from increased implied volatility and a bullish sentiment spike in natural gas due to favorable weather forecasts. Short-term upward momentum offers a potential 20% gain opportunity.




Bearish Case: KOLD's historical pattern of significant long-term decline and flat term structures signals persistent bearish pressure, underscoring potential correction risks despite current market volatility.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of short-term bullish price increase due to weather forecasts.
  • 50% probability of continued mean reversion and downward trend, driven by historical losses.
  • 10% likelihood of unexpected volatility disrupting either trend.




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June 01, 2025


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas











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Assets that tend to move strongly with KOLD



TPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPH  Tri Pointe Homes (0.84)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.84)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (0.83)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.81)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOLD



VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.01)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.02)


CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (0.02)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (-0.02)


SMWB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMWB  Similarweb (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOLD



VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (-0.79)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.79)


JFIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JFIN  Jiayin (-0.8)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.8)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.86)









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