VGT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: VGT's strong tech holdings and historical outperformance favor continued growth; this is supported by bullish option activity and resilience in tech innovation.




Bearish Case: Flat implied volatility and low trading volume signal market uncertainty; potential regulatory changes and rate hikes could impact tech valuations adversely.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth continues due to tech advancements: 55%
  • Price stagnates, reflecting current vol trends: 30%
  • Downturn triggered by macroeconomic shifts: 15%




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February 04, 2025


Vanguard Information Technology Forecast

VGT        Vanguard Information Technology











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VGT



UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.0)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VGT



LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.85)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.86)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.86)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)









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