VGT Forecast


Bullish Case: VGT has shown robust historical performance. AI adoption and leading holdings like Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia could drive strong future returns. Currently higher bullish risk (72%) supports continued growth.


Bearish Case: Market implied volatility is low suggesting risk of stagnation. Institutional hesitancy and low trading volumes indicate potential for downside if market conditions disrupt the tech sector's resilience.


Potential Outcomes: VGT continues its growth trajectory (60%), remains flat (30%), or declines due to volatility spikes (10%). This mirrors strong tech-driven historical performance against current market conditions.


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June 28, 2024


Vanguard Information Technology Forecast

VGT      Vanguard Information Technology











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VGT



XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (1.0)


QLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QLD  ProShares Ultra QQQ (1.0)


TQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TQQQ  ProShares UltraPro QQQ (1.0)


SMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMH  VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (0.99)


TECL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECL  Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VGT



TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (-0.0)


INOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INOD  Innodata (0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.01)


ESTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTA  Establishment Labs (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VGT



VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.94)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.94)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.99)





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