LCII Forecast


Bullish Case: Solid historical returns and the projected EPS growth of 26.6% suggest potential for upside. Increased demand in automotive parts boosted by an economic upturn provides further tailwinds.


Bearish Case: Flat term structure and higher put volume hint at market apprehension. Decreasing prices (-13.8% in 90 days) and flat recent price trends signal potential further downside under volatile conditions.


Potential Outcomes: Price stability (55%) remains likely by historical resilience and technicals. Modest gain (30%) due to bullish EPS growth projections. Decline (15%) from looming market uncertainty and insider sales.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish Helium long volatility strategy: Buy Oct 2024 $110 Call and sell Oct 2024 $120 Call (debit spread). Expecting stable volatility and price rebound within a 4-month horizon.


June 30, 2024


LCI Industries Forecast

LCII      LCI Industries











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LCII



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.39)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LCII



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LCII



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.39)





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