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LNG Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Cheniere Energy benefits from strong demand for LNG, driven by geopolitical tensions and long-term export contracts. Reduced volatility offers stability for strategic expansion, boosted by U.S. policy support.



Bearish Case: Cheniere faces potential downturn due to declining European demand and geopolitical uncertainty. Increased environmental scrutiny and regulatory challenges pose risks to growth, exacerbated by market saturation.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Increased Demand (65%): Geopolitical tensions drive further LNG reliance.
  • Regulatory Challenges (30%): Environmental policies impact operations.
  • Price Volatility (45%): Unpredictable global LNG prices affect earnings.
  • Geopolitical Stability (25%): Improved relations reduce energy dependency risks.


March 18, 2025


Cheniere Energy Forecast

LNG        Cheniere Energy

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNG


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.0)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.01)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNG


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.88)


HUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUN  Huntsman (-0.89)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.89)


CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (-0.9)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.9)







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