LPG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: High call volume, fleet expansion, and potential demand surge support upside opportunities. Lower-term volatility suggests market confidence in future stability.




Bearish Case: Backwardation reflects near-term risks, geopolitical tensions, and environmental concerns on shipping routes. Elevated volatility could imply further instability.




Potential Outcomes: 30% upbeat Q3 results induce bullish run. 40% weak guidance prompts sell-off. 30% status quo prevails due to market apathy.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: buy $29 calls, sell $31 calls expiring in 45 days. Leverage low backwardation. High reward:risk with volatility normalizing, maximizing potential gains. Bullish outlook driven by sector fundamentals and demand growth.



January 16, 2025


Dorian LPG Forecast

LPG        Dorian LPG











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DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.92)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.91)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.91)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (0.89)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LPG



FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.0)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (0.0)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.01)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (0.01)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LPG



CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.87)


TPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPG  TPG (-0.87)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.88)


TVTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TVTX  Travere Therapeutics (-0.89)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.91)









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