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LU Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LU's strategic moves in China's fintech sector suggest potential recovery, with a recent 8.6% price increase indicating momentum. Increased institutional interest also signals possible sustained growth.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and high volatility imply ongoing market skepticism. A 30.8% year-over-year decline highlights uncertainties and potential further drops.

Potential Outcomes: Rapid fintech adoption drives +40% (25% chance). Regulatory hurdles cause -20% (35% chance). Overall stagnation with slight fluctuations (40% chance).

Trading Oracle: Given LU's volatility and regulatory challenges, employ a Bearish Long Volatility strategy. This leverages LU's high implied volatility and market uncertainty, allowing profiting from potential price declines.

May 20, 2025

Lufax Holding Ltd Forecast

LU Lufax Holding Ltd

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with LU

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MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (0.54)

GFI Gold Fields (0.54)

ACMR ACM Research (0.51)

TAL TAL Education (0.51)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LU

DDD 3D Systems (0.0)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.0)

SYF Synchrony Financial (-0.0)

PLD Prologis (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LU

ALT Altimmune (-0.33)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.33)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.34)

DXC DXC Technology (-0.36)

FLYW Flywire (-0.37)

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