LU Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: LU's fintech growth and strategic partnerships could drive a price recovery. Positive return likelihood suggests potential for rebound, backed by optimistic investor sentiment and improved financial outlook.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory challenges suggest persistent market skepticism. Historical decline and negative investor sentiment highlight a risk of continued price drops or stagnation.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Price rebound due to fintech adoption and partnerships.
  • 40%: Stagnation amidst regulatory challenges.
  • 30%: Continued decline due to market skepticism and sell-offs.




Trading Oracle:

Utilize Bearish Long Volatility Strategy due to ongoing market skepticism and high implied volatility. Buy OOTM put options and sell fewer farther OOTM puts to hedge against further declines, leveraging expected price downturns for potential high returns.



March 26, 2025


Lufax Holding Ltd Forecast

LU        Lufax Holding Ltd











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