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LUV Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LUV benefits from improved operational efficiencies and rising travel demand, signaling potential price recovery. Implied volatility suggests optimism.

Bearish Case: Regulatory lawsuits and labor issues pose significant threats to LUV's stability. Historical volatility and ongoing disruptions could pressure the stock downward.

Potential Outcomes: Operational efficiency boosts bookings (60%).
Regulatory actions harm reputation (30%).
Labor disputes disrupt operations (10%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread (Helium Long Volatility) with LUV $32 calls, selling $34 calls, expiring in March. Leverage anticipated holiday travel and operational improvements for maximum potential on elevated implied volatility.

January 22, 2025

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LUV Southwest Airlines

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GIII G-III Apparel (0.78)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.77)

ACN Accenture (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LUV

ADT ADT (-0.0)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.0)

CPA Copa (0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (0.01)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LUV

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.73)

OGN Organon (-0.74)

ACB Aurora Cannabis (-0.74)

CRON Cronos (-0.74)

ST Sensata (-0.77)

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