MED Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MED could benefit from renewed interest in health and wellness and strategic pivots. Historical meanderings towards mean-reversion coupled with high call volume suggest potential upward movement.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates uncertainty. Significant operational challenges and recent financial underperformance suggest potential for further price declines, aligning with prevailing bearish sentiments.




Potential Outcomes:

1) MED recovers due to strategic pivots (30% chance).

2) Ongoing issues cause decline (50% chance).

3) Stable market prompts minor movements (20% chance).



April 27, 2025


Medifast Forecast

MED        Medifast











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ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MED



APG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APG  APi (0.0)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.01)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.01)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.01)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MED



AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.83)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.84)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (-0.84)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.85)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.86)









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