Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: MED's earnings surprises and new AI technologies could signal a rebound, boosting investor confidence. Historical trends suggest a recovery potential as health industry growth supports higher valuations.

Bearish Case: High levels of implied volatility alongside continuous operational challenges indicate significant risks ahead. Market uncertainty and bearish sentiments may lead to further price declines shortly.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilizes with a 40% chance as strategic initiatives take hold.

2. Price rallies by 20% with a 30% likelihood if industry growth continues.

3. Continued decline with a 30% risk due to market volatility and operational issues.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish long volatility strategy by buying $22.5 call options and selling $25 calls, expiring in 133 days. The high implied volatility favors a potential 332% return. Maintain a strong risk management approach while leveraging market uncertainty for gains.

November 12, 2024